Many of my clients have asked, “How do you know when the market has turned and we’ve crossed the line that changes the game?” First, you must learn how Realtors® evaluate the real estate market. From my experience, typical home sellers would like to move within two to four months of placing their home on the market, so over time, we have developed expectations in real estate and have defined situations as follows:
- Sellers Market: 1 to 5 months supply of homes – home prices increase
- Balanced Market: 6 months supplies of homes – home prices are stable
- Buyers Market: 7 or more months supply of homes – home prices decrease.
Recently I have done several estimates of market value which showed that in some areas there is now a 4 month (or less) supply of homes on the market.
This provides a unique timing opportunity. Buyers now realize that prices are close to bottom or rising, so they are actively seeking the best buys in the market. Sellers can now take advantage of more buyers and less competition in selling their homes. This means that eventually home prices will moderately increase.
The easiest way to understand current and future conditions is to monitor the movements in the real estate absorption rate. Mathematically, this is the measurement of current housing supply divided by the current rate of sales, expressed in months of supply. In Santa Cruz County the months of supply is 6.7 and depending on the area, this number drops significantly.
Have you been on the fence about selling? Now is a perfect window of opportunity. Give me a call at (831) 457-5510 or contact me today for any real estate need.







